Thursday, July 10, 2025

PM Modi 3.0: Can the Government Deliver on Jobs and Private Investment?

As Prime Minister Narendra Modi begins his third consecutive term at the helm, expectations are soaring. The electorate has once again placed its faith in the NDA government, despite a reduced majority, signaling a desire for continuity—but also course correction. The most pressing challenges before the Modi 3.0 administration are clear: job creation and a revival in private investment. The question now is—can the government deliver?

Jobs: The Unmet Promise

One of the persistent criticisms during the Modi 2.0 tenure was the lack of sufficient employment opportunities, particularly for the youth. While headline unemployment figures have fluctuated, underemployment and job quality remain critical issues. The Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) has repeatedly flagged concerns over stagnant job growth, especially in rural and semi-urban India.

Despite strong macroeconomic indicators—robust GDP growth, inflation under control, and rising exports—employment generation has not kept pace. The government’s push for infrastructure, defense manufacturing, and digital economy has created some employment, but not at the scale required.

PM Modi’s third term will need to focus more sharply on skill development, MSME support, and aligning education with market needs. Policies must go beyond flagship schemes and ensure real impact at the grassroots. Moreover, sectors like tourism, green energy, and technology-enabled services remain underutilized job engines.

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Private Investment: A Slow Burn

India’s private sector, despite corporate tax cuts and regulatory easing, has been cautious about large-scale investments. While the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) schemes have sparked interest in electronics and EV manufacturing, broader private investment remains tepid.

One reason for this is a lack of sustained domestic demand and regulatory unpredictability. Additionally, the banking sector’s past NPA crisis has made lenders cautious, despite improvements. If India hopes to become the next global manufacturing hub, Modi 3.0 must address land, labor, and logistics challenges with greater urgency.

The new government must also work to restore investor confidence by ensuring policy stability, streamlining clearances, and fast-tracking infrastructure development under Gati Shakti and National Infrastructure Pipeline.

Global Opportunity, Domestic Readiness

With global supply chains shifting and China facing increasing scrutiny, India is uniquely positioned to benefit. However, capitalizing on this opportunity will require more than slogans. It demands consistent policy execution, improved ease of doing business at the state level, and close public-private collaboration.

Moreover, the rise of AI, renewable technologies, and a service-driven digital economy presents a fresh set of job and investment opportunities. Whether the government can skillfully navigate this transformation will define Modi 3.0’s legacy.

Conclusion: Execution Is Key

Prime Minister Modi’s third term is not just a continuation—it’s a test. Voters are expecting more than rhetoric; they want delivery. Creating sustainable jobs and unleashing private investment will be the real markers of success. With the political mandate still intact, albeit moderated, the government must seize this opportunity to translate macroeconomic potential into real, inclusive growth.

Only then will “Modi 3.0” be remembered not just as a historic term, but a transformative one.

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